公投與選舉的關聯
公投「領票率」，按照鄉鎮市區區分（點擊看大圖）：
| 第五案（入聯公投） | 第六案（返聯公投） |
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公投兩案領票數做線性迴歸分析的話，R2 為 0.999991392 （這不用作也知道 XD）。
以第五案的「公投領票率」與「一號得票率」做線性迴歸分析，R2 為 0.910775039。如果把公投領票率跟二號得票率也做迴歸統計, R2 也有 0.9。
可是迴歸還要看他是正相關或負相關，這是兩位候選人得票率與公投領票率的關聯（點擊看大圖）：
| 一號 | 二號 |
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（其實二號可以不用畫的，因為一號與二號呈完全負相關，所以當然是左右鏡像相反）
因此，果然支持一號的選民比較支持公投。
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三月 23rd, 2008 in 無分類 | tags: 台灣, 政治
